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@REPLYADDR Red State Guns - Red State Crime
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>e:
Not an anomaly: 2020`s red states have higher murder rates
Alexi McCammond
Alexi McCammond
Reproduced from Third Way; Chart: Axios Visuals
https://www.axios.com/2023/01/27/murder-rate-high-trump-republican-states
The murder rates in Trump-voting states from 2020 have exceeded those in
Biden-voting states every year since 2000, according to a new analysis by
ThirdWay, a center-left think tank.
Why it matters: Republicans have built their party on being the crime-
fighting candidates, even as murder rates in red states have outpaced blue
states by an average of 23% over the past two decades.
Four reliably-red states consistently made the top of the list ?
Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, and Missouri.
Driving the news: Third Way`s report analyzed homicide data for all 50
states from 2000 through 2020, using CDC data.
They used the 2020 presidential election results to characterize "red
states" from the "blue states."
The findings build on a previous Third Way report that only analyzed
murder rates from 2019-2020. This time, they write, they wanted "to see if
this one-year Red State murder epidemic was an anomaly."
Zoom out: In Oct. 2022 ? just before the 2022 midterm elections ? a
record-high 56% of Americans said there was more crime where they live,
per Gallup.
That included 73% of Republicans and a whopping 51% of Independents.
Both parties rushed to spend tens of millions of dollars on crime ads
that month.
Between the lines: The political implications don`t always match the
reality.
"Crime has historically been a very potent political issue. It?s also
very anecdote driven," said Jim Kessler, Third Way`s executive vice
president for policy.
Murder isn`t the only crime committed or discussed, but Third Way
hopes to combat the "media and political narrative that crime is a
Democratic problem, occurring mostly in big blue cities and fueled by lax
policies," they write.
What to watch: Democratic messaging on the issue in the 2024 cycle and
whether there are renewed divisions between Democratic Party leaders and
members of Congress ? particularly after party infighting blamed
progressives? ?defund the police? slogan for down-ballot losses in 2020.
President Biden reiterated his views just last week when he told a
group of bipartisan mayors gathering in D.C. that handling public safety
shouldn`t involve defunding police departments.
Methodology: Data is based on death certificates collected by state
registries and provided to the National Vital Statistics System. To allow
for comparison, Third Way calculated the state?s per capita murder rate,
the number of murders per 100,000 residents, and categorized states by
their presidential vote in the 2020 election, resulting in an even 25-25
state split.
--- Xnews/5.04.25
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